OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 10 min ago
103 questions
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028? — Mark Cuban
2%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources3pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — J.D. Vance
42%
Gemini
42%
Manifold
42%
politics2 sources0pp gap
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? — Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)
13%
Manifold
8%
Gemini
21%
politics2 sources13pp gap
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? — Sam Altman
2%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
31%
politics2 sources31pp gap
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? — Howard Lutnick (Secretary of Commerce)
39%
Manifold
37%
Gemini
40%
politics2 sources3pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Marco Rubio
20%
Manifold
13%
Gemini
29%
politics2 sources16pp gap
Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? — John Ratcliffe (CIA Director)
20%
Manifold
25%
Gemini
16%
politics2 sources9pp gap
Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress. — Republican
14%
Manifold
10%
Gemini
19%
politics2 sources9pp gap
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028? — Gavin Newsom
3%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources6pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Donald Trump
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources5pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Glenn Youngkin
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources5pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Donald Trump Jr.
8%
Manifold
11%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources5pp gap
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? — Josh Shapiro
6%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources2pp gap
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? — Gavin Newsom
29%
Manifold
27%
Gemini
31%
politics2 sources4pp gap
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028? — Josh Shapiro
5%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources3pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Ron DeSantis
2%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources3pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Marco Rubio
25%
Gemini
25%
Manifold
24%
politics2 sources1pp gap
Who will be the Democratic Party’s nominee for Vice-President in 2028? — Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Manifold
8%
Gemini
11%
politics2 sources3pp gap
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? — Kamala Harris
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources3pp gap
Who will be the Republican nominee for Vice President in 2028? — Nikki Haley
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources2pp gap
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