Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
3%
↓ 73ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$474K
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$432K
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
65%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
74%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$422K20pp gap
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
politicsPolymarket$407K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
8%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$373K
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
97%
Polymarket
97%
politicsPolymarket$367K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
10%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
12%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$355K4pp gap
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
10%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
10%
politicsPolymarket$349K
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
51%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
51%
politicsPolymarket$343K
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
2%
Polymarket
2%
politicsPolymarket$309K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 115-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
4%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$307K
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$274K
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$252K
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
22%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
22%
politicsPolymarket$246K
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$243K
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
78%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
78%
politicsPolymarket$241K
Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
6%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$231K
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
4%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$230K
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
32%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
32%
politicsPolymarket$221K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
3%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$203K