Trump declares election interference national emergency?
20%
Polymarket
20%
politicsPolymarket$139K
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
11%
Polymarket
11%
politicsPolymarket$139K
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
90%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
90%
politicsPolymarket$137K
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
24%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
24%
politicsPolymarket$133K
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
24%
↑ 10ppPolymarket
24%
politicsPolymarket$131K
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
89%
↑ 5ppPolymarket
89%
politicsPolymarket$130K
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
3%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$129K
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
20%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
20%
politicsPolymarket$128K
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
24%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
24%
politicsPolymarket$124K
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
31%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
31%
politicsPolymarket$121K
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
9%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
9%
politicsPolymarket$120K
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
34%
Polymarket
34%
politicsPolymarket$113K
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
56%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
56%
politicsPolymarket$112K
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
30%
↑ 12ppPolymarket
30%
politicsPolymarket$106K
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
politicsPolymarket$104K
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
32%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
32%
politicsPolymarket$103K
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
95%
— 0ppPolymarket
95%
politicsPolymarket$99K
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
72%
Polymarket
72%
politicsPolymarket$93K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
30%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
30%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$86K2pp gap
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$81K