Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
20%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
20%
politicsPolymarket$38K
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
7%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
7%
politicsPolymarket$35K
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
8%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$35K
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
94%
Polymarket
94%
politicsPolymarket$32K
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$32K
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
72%
↑ 11ppPolymarket
72%
politicsPolymarket$32K
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
14%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
14%
politicsPolymarket$31K
Blue wave in 2026?
88%
Polymarket
88%
politicsPolymarket$31K
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
56%
↑ 6ppPolymarket
60%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K8pp gap
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
15%
Polymarket
15%
politicsPolymarket$31K
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
8%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$30K
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?
94%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
94%
politicsPolymarket$30K
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
20%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
20%
politicsPolymarket$30K
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
12%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$30K
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
68%
Polymarket
68%
politicsPolymarket$29K
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
13%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K4pp gap
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
17%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
27%
Manifold
10%
politics2 sources$18K17pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
38%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
32%
Manifold
44%
politics2 sources$14K11pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
91%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
89%
Manifold
93%
politics2 sources$12K4pp gap
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
35%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
6%
Predictit
97%
Manifold
7%
politics3 sources$8K91pp gap