2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Josh Shapiro
4%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$198K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Kamala Harris
7%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
7%
politics2 sources$198K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
1%
politics2 sources$198K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Pete Buttigieg
5%
Manifold
6%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$198K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gemini
18%
Manifold
16%
politics2 sources$198K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Mark Kelly
2%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$198K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Andy Beshear
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources$198K3pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — J.B. Pritzker
2%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$198K1pp gap
Will San Francisco Giants win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$162K2pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$94K1pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Ron DeSantis
3%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$94K0pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — J.D. Vance
45%
Manifold
47%
Gemini
44%
politics2 sources$94K2pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Donald J. Trump
2%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
3%
politics2 sources$94K1pp gap
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
17%
— 0ppGemini
73%
Polymarket
3%
sports2 sources$86K70pp gap
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
6%
↑ 1ppManifold
3%
Predictit
3%
Polymarket
16%
politics3 sources$64K14pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
84%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
82%
Manifold
90%
Predictit
82%
politics3 sources$24K8pp gap
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
14%
↑ 3ppPredictit
19%
Polymarket
38%
Manifold
0%
politics3 sources$8K38pp gap
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
95%
Polymarket
92%
Manifold
98%
Predictit
99%
politics3 sources$6K7pp gap
World Chess Championship Winner — Javokhir Sindarov
14%
Manifold
14%
other1 sources0pp gap
World Chess Championship Winner — Gukesh Dommaraju
30%
Manifold
30%
other1 sources0pp gap