Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Manifold
17%
entertainment2 sources$258K14pp gap
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
16%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
12%
Manifold
30%
entertainment2 sources$143K18pp gap
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
87%
Polymarket
88%
Manifold
87%
Gemini
88%
politics3 sources$130K1pp gap
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
10%
↑ 10ppPolymarket
11%
Manifold
8%
entertainment2 sources$117K3pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
54%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
54%
Manifold
56%
politics2 sources$103K2pp gap
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
entertainment2 sources$84K0pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
26%
Polymarket
26%
Manifold
26%
politics2 sources$42K1pp gap
Theo James announced as next James Bond?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
entertainment2 sources$40K1pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
17%
— 0ppManifold
16%
Polymarket
18%
politics2 sources$34K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gavin Newsom
25%
Manifold
25%
Gemini
26%
politics2 sources$29K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Josh Shapiro
6%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources$29K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Kamala Harris
8%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
8%
politics2 sources$29K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
2%
politics2 sources$29K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
11%
politics2 sources$29K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Pete Buttigieg
6%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
10%
politics2 sources$29K6pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Mark Kelly
2%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$29K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — J.B. Pritzker
4%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources$29K5pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Andy Beshear
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
5%
politics2 sources$29K2pp gap
English Premier League Relegation 2025-26? — West Ham
40%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
66%
sports2 sources$2K57pp gap
World Chess Championship Winner — Javokhir Sindarov
13%
Manifold
13%
other1 sources0pp gap