2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gavin Newsom
16%
Manifold
17%
Gemini
16%
politics2 sources$99K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Josh Shapiro
4%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources$99K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Kamala Harris
7%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
6%
politics2 sources$99K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
2%
politics2 sources$99K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Pete Buttigieg
5%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources$99K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%
Gemini
22%
Manifold
17%
politics2 sources$99K4pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Mark Kelly
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources$99K3pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — J.B. Pritzker
2%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$99K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Andy Beshear
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$99K2pp gap
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
2%
— 0ppGemini
2%
Polymarket
3%
sports2 sources$79K1pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$62K1pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Ron DeSantis
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$62K2pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — J.D. Vance
43%
Manifold
43%
Gemini
42%
politics2 sources$62K0pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Donald J. Trump
2%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$62K0pp gap
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
14%
↑ 1ppManifold
10%
Predictit
12%
Polymarket
16%
politics3 sources$48K6pp gap
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
7%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
5%
politics2 sources$38K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
84%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
82%
Manifold
91%
Predictit
82%
politics3 sources$24K9pp gap
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
14%
↑ 3ppPredictit
19%
Polymarket
38%
Manifold
0%
politics3 sources$8K38pp gap
World Chess Championship Winner — Javokhir Sindarov
14%
Manifold
14%
other1 sources0pp gap
World Chess Championship Winner — Gukesh Dommaraju
32%
Manifold
32%
other1 sources0pp gap