Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
2%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$3.8M1pp gap
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
19%
↑ 7ppPolymarket
32%
Predictit
2%
Gemini
16%
politics3 sources$3.4M30pp gap
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
37%
Predictit
46%
Polymarket
36%
Manifold
30%
politics3 sources$3.3M16pp gap
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
12%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$2.2M10pp gap
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
Polymarket
6%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$2.0M5pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2%
Polymarket
5%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$1.8M5pp gap
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
47%
Polymarket
44%
Manifold
64%
Predictit
43%
politics3 sources$1.7M21pp gap
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
16%
Gemini
6%
Manifold
0%
sports3 sources$1.4M16pp gap
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
33%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
34%
Predictit
40%
Manifold
26%
politics3 sources$1.4M14pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7%
↓ 3ppGemini
4%
Predictit
5%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$1.4M4pp gap
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
3%
Polymarket
5%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
1%
politics3 sources$1.3M4pp gap
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
4%
sports2 sources$892K1pp gap
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
13%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
24%
politics2 sources$891K22pp gap
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
2%
Gemini
5%
politics3 sources$791K3pp gap
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60%
↓ 1ppManifold
61%
Polymarket
60%
politics2 sources$752K1pp gap
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
11%
Manifold
9%
Polymarket
10%
Gemini
12%
politics3 sources$648K3pp gap
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
87%
Polymarket
74%
Gemini
94%
Manifold
98%
sports3 sources$647K24pp gap
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
0%
Gemini
2%
sports3 sources$568K2pp gap
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
9%
↑ 3ppManifold
9%
Polymarket
10%
politics2 sources$552K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gavin Newsom
14%
Manifold
16%
Gemini
12%
politics2 sources$198K3pp gap