OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
119 questions
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
95%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
95%
aiPolymarket$192K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Anthropic’s market cap
78%
Anthropic not IPO by Decembe
18%
ai7 candidates +5 more$162K+$4K/24h
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
82%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
82%
aiPolymarket$152K
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$146K
What Kind Of Product Will Openai Announce In 2026
OpenAI announce earbuds or h
42%
OpenAI announce a watch in 2
20%
OpenAI announce a phone in 2
20%
ai7 candidates +4 more$131K+$6K/24h
Gpt 6 Released By
December 31, 2026
86%
GPT-6
84%
June 30, 2026
40%
ai3 candidates $123K+$2K/24h
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
53%
↓ 26pp
Polymarket
53%
aiPolymarket$109K
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
14%
↓ 8pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$108K
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
5%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$106K
Which Ceos Will Be Out Before 2027
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO be
26%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO
18%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinb
16%
ai2 candidates $105K+$2K/24h
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
2%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
2%
aiPolymarket$104K
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
7%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
7%
aiPolymarket$103K
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
15%
↓ 20pp
Polymarket
15%
aiPolymarket$97K
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
8%
↓ 9pp
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$97K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
74%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
74%
aiPolymarket$90K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
32%
Polymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$80K
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$78K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$70K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
97%
— 0pp
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$70K
Highest Temperature In Shanghai On April 11 2026
highest temperature in Shang
40%
ai8 candidates +7 more$64K+$44K/24h
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