W
Will Microsoft buy OpenAI?
20%
Manifold
20%
aiManifold14 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2035?
63%
Manifold
63%
aiManifold116 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2030
41%
Manifold
41%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will xAI replace Anthropic's DoW deal?
11%
Manifold
11%
aiManifold24 traders
W
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2050?
15%
Manifold
15%
aiManifold25 traders
W
What will be the best OpenAI-Proof Q&A score by Dec 31, 2026? — 10-20%
8%
Manifold
8%
aiManifold17 traders
B
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
11%
Manifold
11%
aiManifold401 traders
W
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2028?
21%
Manifold
21%
aiManifold77 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2045?
80%
Manifold
80%
aiManifold63 traders
O
OpenAI abandon answer independence on ads before 2028?
32%
Manifold
32%
aiManifold136 traders
T
Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.
34%
Manifold
34%
aiManifold20 traders
Will any emoji be printed on a Magic: the Gathering card by... — End of 2026
3%
Manifold
3%
aiManifold19 traders
W
Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?
45%
Manifold
45%
aiManifold26 traders
O
OpenAI reaches $100B revenue in 2028?
78%
Manifold
78%
aiManifold31 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2028?
18%
Manifold
18%
aiManifold134 traders
W
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
69%
Manifold
69%
aiManifold86 traders
W
Will we get AGI before 2040?
72%
Manifold
72%
aiManifold91 traders
W
Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?
86%
Manifold
86%
aiManifold36 traders
W
Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
59%
Manifold
59%
aiManifold23 traders
W
Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
61%
Manifold
61%
aiManifold83 traders