Czyh3Kp388Egj5Dvyhxr
It won't be
51%
Giving all LLMs access to th
18%
Bigger model trained on more
9%
ai10 candidates +7 more
9
9Ll96Lgch5
It will be released by Janua
96%
It will be released by May 2
86%
It is GPT 5.5 (including any
82%
ai9 candidates +6 more
C
Cussr0Uull
Anthropic
54%
OpenAI
22%
Google DeepMind
15%
ai2 candidates
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Other
51%
Grimes
13%
David Chalmers
6%
ai19 candidates +16 more
E
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Palantir
17%
Other
15%
OpenAI
15%
ai11 candidates +8 more
E
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Other
52%
1T - 1.1T
8%
900B - 1T
6%
ai10 candidates +7 more
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Google
32%
OpenAI
26%
Anthropic
25%
ai7 candidates +4 more
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before 2027
73%
Manifold
73%
aiManifold119 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before December 2026
64%
Manifold
64%
aiManifold119 traders
C
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date — Before 2026-09-01
52%
Manifold
52%
aiManifold310 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before September 2026
35%
Manifold
35%
aiManifold119 traders
W
Will Anthropic release Claude 5 Opus (or equivalent next-gen flagship) before October 1, 2026?
91%
Manifold
91%
aiManifold22 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before May 2026
10%
Manifold
10%
aiManifold119 traders
C
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date — Before 2026-08-01
42%
Manifold
42%
aiManifold310 traders
C
Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date — Before 2026-06-01
34%
Manifold
34%
aiManifold310 traders
R2 / V4-Thinking (DeepSeek) release date — Before 2026-05-01
76%
Manifold
76%
aiManifold149 traders
A
Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?
23%
Manifold
23%
aiManifold159 traders
W
Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?
6%
Manifold
6%
aiManifold12 traders
G
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date — Before December 2027
92%
Manifold
92%
aiManifold119 traders
G
Gemini 4 released in 2026?
78%
Manifold
78%
aiManifold33 traders