D
D2Z28882Zt
ChatGPT
47%
[No polling data available]
25%
[Polling data exists, but do
9%
ai4 candidates +1 more
D
Dnl9Sr88Ns
Yes
55%
No [Anthropic < SpaceX]
28%
No [Anthropic does not IPO i
16%
ai4 candidates +1 more
D
Dnpzug2Zan
$40B to $60B
21%
$80B to $100B
20%
$60B to $80B
20%
ai6 candidates +3 more
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Other
55%
Grimes
12%
Richard Dawkins
10%
ai21 candidates +18 more
E
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Palantir
16%
OpenAI
16%
Other
15%
ai11 candidates +8 more
E
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Anthropic
51%
Google
16%
OpenAI
15%
ai3 candidates
E
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Nvidia
18%
Alphabet
14%
Apple
12%
ai2 candidates
E
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Other
70%
1T - 1.1T
5%
900B - 1T
4%
ai10 candidates +7 more
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Later than 2027
68%
2027
15%
2026
14%
ai5 candidates +2 more
F
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Not before 2030
61%
2028 or 2029
28%
2026 or 2027
10%
ai4 candidates +1 more
G
G8U5Lc8A9N
>15M
97%
>20M
41%
>25M
9%
ai3 candidates
G
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Nvidia
21%
Anthropic
13%
SpaceX
11%
ai2 candidates
Gllls5Ppcz
IPO Valuation: $2 trillion+
68%
Anthropic partners with a ma
54%
Claude introduces long-term
53%
ai9 candidates +6 more
H
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He will resolves this market
90%
He will be male
87%
He will be a citizen of the
81%
ai11 candidates +8 more
C
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Both/Neither/Unclear
69%
Anthropic
17%
SpaceX
14%
ai3 candidates
G
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date — Before June 2027
35%
Manifold
35%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date — Before July 2027
40%
Manifold
40%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date — Before August 2027
53%
Manifold
53%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date — Before September 2027
61%
Manifold
61%
aiManifold13 traders
G
GPT 7 (OpenAI) release date — Before October 2027
71%
Manifold
71%
aiManifold13 traders