OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
247,376
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
163 questions
Consensus 2+
2
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Anthropic
42%
OpenAI
35%
Moonshot AI
7%
ai12 candidates +9 more
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Other
21%
NVIDIA
12%
Anthropic
11%
ai2 candidates
8
8H2Ssglnnr
Other
44%
2027
14%
2028
11%
ai8 candidates +5 more
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Nvidia
16%
Alphabet (Google)
13%
Microsoft
12%
ai2 candidates
8
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Anthropic
84%
Kraken
50%
Discord
49%
ai2 candidates
2
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Plus
17%
Business
6%
Enterprise
5%
ai4 candidates +1 more
6
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Viking Therapeutics
48%
GitLab
20%
Ubisoft
14%
ai2 candidates
2
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Other
96%
10B - 20B
2%
90B - 100B
1%
ai10 candidates +7 more
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NVIDIA
94%
Alphabet (Google)
89%
Apple
84%
ai2 candidates
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Nvidia
41%
Anthropic
18%
Other
16%
ai2 candidates
A
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OpenAI
48%
Anthropic
37%
Google
10%
ai4 candidates +1 more
6
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Fable/Mythos
44%
Haiku
32%
Sonnet
9%
ai5 candidates +2 more
A
Ah2Vtswwgkggxrf1Xbnq
Microsoft/OpenAI
20%
Amazon/Anthropic
13%
Other
13%
ai10 candidates +7 more
A
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After 2035
69%
Only after superintelligence
49%
2031-2035
22%
ai6 candidates +3 more
A
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NVIDIA
78%
Apple
8%
Alphabet (Google)
6%
ai2 candidates
6
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$5T–$6T
39%
$4T–$5T
21%
$6T–$7T
18%
ai7 candidates +4 more
A
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OpenAI / ChatGPT
70%
xAI / Grok
33%
Meta / Llama
11%
ai4 candidates +1 more
A
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Accident/other
40%
State actor
39%
Non-state actor
21%
ai3 candidates
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2028
19%
They never have a profitable
19%
2029
14%
ai12 candidates +9 more
A
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Because a human directed it
62%
an open source model
49%
A proprietary model
47%
ai2 candidates
34567
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