OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,053
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
338,048
Markets
Data refreshed 4 hr ago
168 questions
Consensus 2+
Which Companies Will Have A 1 AI Model By December
Google have a #1 AI model by
64%
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by
42%
xAI have a #1 AI model by De
20%
ai5 candidates +2 more$11K+$341/24h
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$10K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
62%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
62%
aiPolymarket$9K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
42%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
42%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
29%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
29%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?
97%
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
10%
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$7K
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
85%
Polymarket
85%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
10%
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$5K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
70%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
70%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?
0%
— 0pp
Polymarket
0%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$3K
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
5%
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
84%
Polymarket
84%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
65%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
65%
aiPolymarket$2K
W
Will the FDA issue formal guidance or recommendations regarding AI chatbot mental health risks by June 1, 2026?
52%
Context
52%
aiContext$2K
W
Will Anthropic's DoD lawsuit be dismissed by April 10?
79%
Context
79%
aiContext$1K
2
2Qq0A28Gcn
OpenAI
97%
GPT
96%
an academic mathematician (i
3%
ai5 candidates +2 more
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