OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
247,376
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
164 questions
Consensus 2+
Which Companies Announce Bankruptcy Before 2027
Beyond Meat announce bankrup
54%
MicroStrategy announce bankr
11%
SoundHound AI announce bankr
9%
ai3 candidates $17K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
18%
Polymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$15K
Openai IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI not IPO by December 3
24%
OpenAI’s market cap
22%
ai2 candidates $15K+$3/24h
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
aiPolymarket$14K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
16%
— 0pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$13K
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
76%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
76%
aiPolymarket$12K
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
18%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$11K
Which Companies Will Have A 1 AI Model By December
Google have a #1 AI model by
64%
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by
42%
xAI have a #1 AI model by De
20%
ai5 candidates +2 more$11K+$341/24h
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$10K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?
62%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
62%
aiPolymarket$9K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
42%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
42%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
29%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
29%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
15%
Polymarket
15%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?
97%
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$8K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
10%
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$7K
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
32%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$6K
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
85%
Polymarket
85%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
93%
— 0pp
Polymarket
93%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
10%
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$5K
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