OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 20 min ago
483 questions
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
22%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$103K
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
9%
— 0pp
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$103K
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
17%
Polymarket
17%
aiPolymarket$94K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
76%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
76%
aiPolymarket$90K
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
16%
↓ 12pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$87K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
32%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$78K
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
8%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$77K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
97%
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$70K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
3%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$69K
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$64K
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
89%
— 0pp
Polymarket
89%
aiPolymarket$62K
Which Company Has The Best Coding AI Model End Of April
EVENT
Anthropic have the best Codi
90%
OpenAI have the best Coding
7%
DeepSeek have the best Codin
3%
ai13 candidates +10 more$55K+$1K/24h
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
23%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
23%
aiPolymarket$53K
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
16%
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$53K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
63%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
63%
aiPolymarket$52K
Highest Temperature In Shanghai On April 11 2026
EVENT
highest temperature in Shang
32%
highest temperature in Shang
29%
highest temperature in Shang
14%
ai11 candidates +8 more$46K+$31K/24h
Which Company Has The Second Best AI Model End Of April
EVENT
Anthropic have the second be
85%
Google have the second best
6%
OpenAI have the second best
6%
ai13 candidates +10 more$44K+$4K/24h
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
86%
↑ 48pp
Polymarket
86%
aiPolymarket$43K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
68%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
68%
aiPolymarket$37K
What Level Will The Dubai Real Estate Index Hit In 2026
EVENT
DFM Real Estate Index hit 14
74%
DFM Real Estate Index dip to
53%
DFM Real Estate Index hit 16
34%
ai7 candidates +4 more$34K+$203/24h
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