OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,068
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
177,010
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
161 questions
Consensus 2+
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$25K
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
42%
↑ 21pp
Polymarket
42%
aiPolymarket$24K
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
aiPolymarket$24K
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
24%
Polymarket
24%
aiPolymarket$24K
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
71%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
71%
aiPolymarket$23K
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
68%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
68%
aiPolymarket$23K
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
56%
↑ 8pp
Polymarket
56%
aiPolymarket$23K
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
28%
↑ 14pp
Polymarket
28%
aiPolymarket$22K
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$18K
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
80%
Polymarket
80%
aiPolymarket$18K
Which Companies Announce Bankruptcy Before 2027
Beyond Meat announce bankrup
54%
MicroStrategy announce bankr
11%
SoundHound AI announce bankr
9%
ai3 candidates $17K
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
85%
↑ 50pp
Polymarket
85%
aiPolymarket$16K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
18%
Polymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$15K
Openai IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI not IPO by December 3
24%
OpenAI’s market cap
22%
ai2 candidates $15K+$3/24h
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
aiPolymarket$14K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
16%
— 0pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$13K
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
76%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
76%
aiPolymarket$12K
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
18%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$11K
Which Companies Will Have A 1 AI Model By December
Google have a #1 AI model by
64%
OpenAI have a #1 AI model by
42%
xAI have a #1 AI model by De
20%
ai5 candidates +2 more$11K+$341/24h
NASA lands on the moon? — Before 2027
4%
Gemini
4%
technologyGemini$10K
23456
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