AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
70%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
70%
aiPolymarket$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 15
2%
Gemini
2%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 18
2%
Gemini
2%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 17
2%
Gemini
2%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 16
2%
Gemini
2%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 13
16%
Gemini
16%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 14
4%
Gemini
4%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 11
98%
Gemini
98%
technologyGemini$5K
How many launches will SpaceX have in August? — Above 12
88%
Gemini
88%
technologyGemini$5K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$3K
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
48%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
48%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
5%
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
84%
Polymarket
84%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
23%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
23%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
65%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
65%
aiPolymarket$2K
W
Will the FDA issue formal guidance or recommendations regarding AI chatbot mental health risks by June 1, 2026?
52%
Context
52%
aiContext$2K
W
Will Anthropic's DoD lawsuit be dismissed by April 10?
79%
Context
79%
aiContext$1K
8
8Eq6Zi9Opp
NVIDIA
85%
Apple
8%
Alphabet (Google)
2%
ai2 candidates