AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
70%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
70%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
5%
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
54%
Polymarket
54%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
5%
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$4K
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$3K
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
97%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$3K
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
94%
Polymarket
94%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
48%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
48%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
5%
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
84%
Polymarket
84%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
84%
↑ 24ppPolymarket
84%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
16%
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
23%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
23%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
26%
↓ 14ppPolymarket
26%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
73%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
73%
aiPolymarket$2K
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
65%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
65%
aiPolymarket$2K