OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 20 min ago
483 questions
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22%
Polymarket
20%
Manifold
24%
ai2 sources$327K4pp gap
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$269K0pp gap
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
22%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$257K
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$228K
Which Company Has The Third Best AI Model End Of April
EVENT
Anthropic have the third bes
52%
Google have the third best A
44%
OpenAI have the third best A
2%
ai12 candidates +9 more$226K+$50K/24h
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
26%
↓ 41pp
Polymarket
26%
aiPolymarket$218K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
14%
↓ 12pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$189K
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
95%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
95%
aiPolymarket$188K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
EVENT
Anthropic’s market cap
78%
Anthropic not IPO by Decembe
18%
Anthropic’s market cap
3%
ai7 candidates +4 more$159K+$46K/24h
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
85%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
85%
aiPolymarket$151K
Anthropic CEO arrested?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$146K
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
7%
ai2 sources$135K2pp gap
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
0%
— 0pp
Polymarket
0%
Manifold
1%
ai2 sources$132K0pp gap
What Kind Of Product Will Openai Announce In 2026
EVENT
OpenAI announce earbuds or h
52%
OpenAI announce a computer (
26%
OpenAI announce a necklace-s
22%
ai7 candidates +4 more$128K+$8K/24h
Gpt 6 Released By
EVENT
GPT-6 released by...? — Dece
86%
GPT-6
84%
GPT-6
76%
ai3 candidates $123K+$2K/24h
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
7%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
7%
aiPolymarket$105K
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
50%
↓ 28pp
Polymarket
50%
aiPolymarket$105K
Which Ceos Will Be Out Before 2027
EVENT
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO be
27%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO
18%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinb
17%
ai2 candidates $105K+$2K/24h
W
Will Kuwait declare war or deploy ground forces for combat?
95%
Context
95%
aiContext$104K
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
4%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$103K
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