OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated.

1,056
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
277,268
Markets
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
169 questions
Consensus 2+
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
10%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$47K
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
42%
↓ 21pp
Polymarket
42%
aiPolymarket$46K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Anthropic’s market cap
40%
Anthropic not IPO by Decembe
13%
ai7 candidates +5 more$45K+$1K/24h
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
9%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$37K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
aiPolymarket$37K
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
13%
Polymarket
13%
aiPolymarket$31K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
31%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
31%
aiPolymarket$28K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
20%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
20%
aiPolymarket$28K
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
98%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
98%
aiPolymarket$26K
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
66%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
66%
aiPolymarket$26K
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$25K
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
71%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
71%
aiPolymarket$23K
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
68%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
68%
aiPolymarket$23K
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
8%
— 0pp
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$18K
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
80%
Polymarket
80%
aiPolymarket$18K
Which Companies Announce Bankruptcy Before 2027
Beyond Meat announce bankrup
54%
MicroStrategy announce bankr
11%
SoundHound AI announce bankr
9%
ai3 candidates $17K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
18%
Polymarket
18%
aiPolymarket$15K
Openai IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI not IPO by December 3
24%
OpenAI’s market cap
22%
ai2 candidates $15K+$3/24h
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
aiPolymarket$14K
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
16%
— 0pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$13K
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