OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
82 questions
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
68%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
68%
economicsPolymarket$37K
Bank Of Mexico Decision In May
EVENT
Bank of Mexico announce no c
80%
Bank of Mexico announce a de
18%
Bank of Mexico announce an i
1%
economics3 candidates $35K+$4K/24h
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
34%
↑ 6pp
Polymarket
34%
economicsPolymarket$34K
Bank Of Japan Decision In June
EVENT
No change in Bank of Japan’s
52%
Bank of Japan decreases inte
3%
economics2 candidates $25K+$604/24h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
economicsPolymarket$24K
What Will Powell Say During April Press Conference
EVENT
Powell say "Good Afternoon"
97%
Powell say "Inflation" 40+ t
81%
Powell say "AI" or "Artifici
74%
economics4 candidates +1 more$24K+$9K/24h
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$24K
ECB rate cut in 2026?
26%
Polymarket
26%
economicsPolymarket$23K
UK GDP Growth In Q1 2026
EVENT
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
38%
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
36%
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026
8%
economics4 candidates +1 more$19K+$102/24h
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
50%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
50%
economicsPolymarket$19K
How Many Dissent At The Next FED Meeting
EVENT
one person dissent the April
60%
no one dissent the April Fed
6%
four or more people dissent
2%
economics3 candidates $16K+$177/24h
Brazil GDP Growth In Q1 2026
EVENT
Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth
14%
Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth
10%
economics2 candidates $15K
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?
17%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
17%
economicsPolymarket$14K
Will The 30 Year Mortgage Rate Hit In 2026
EVENT
U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mort
74%
U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mort
48%
economics2 candidates $13K
Bank Of Israel Decision In May
EVENT
Bank of Israel make no chang
86%
Bank of Israel decrease the
12%
Bank of Israel increase the
3%
economics3 candidates $13K+$271/24h
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?
93%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
93%
economicsPolymarket$12K
Bank Of England Decision In June
EVENT
No change in Bank of England
63%
Bank of England increases in
36%
economics2 candidates $12K+$82/24h
Ecb Interest Rates June 2026
EVENT
ECB announce no change at th
44%
ECB announce a 25 bps increa
40%
ECB announce a 50+ bps incre
6%
economics5 candidates +2 more$10K+$2K/24h
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?
89%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
89%
economicsPolymarket$8K
South Korea GDP Growth In Q1 2026
EVENT
South Korea GDP growth in Q1
64%
South Korea GDP growth in Q1
6%
economics2 candidates $8K+$68/24h
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