OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
3,128 questions
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
80%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
80%
politicsPolymarket$1.6M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
14%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.6M
Iran leadership change by December 31?
42%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
42%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.5M
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
26%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
26%
politicsPolymarket$1.4M
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
6%
— 0pp
Polymarket
6%
economicsPolymarket$1.3M
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
20%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
US recession by end of 2026?
24%
↓ 5pp
Polymarket
24%
economicsPolymarket$1.3M
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
94%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
94%
sportsPolymarket$1.2M
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
100%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
100%
otherPolymarket$1.2M
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
46%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
46%
cryptoPolymarket$1.1M
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$1.1M
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.0M
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$1.0M
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
41%
↑ 11pp
Polymarket
41%
geopoliticsPolymarket$996K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$963K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
50%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
50%
politicsPolymarket$925K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$921K
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
19%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
19%
otherPolymarket$920K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
geopoliticsPolymarket$917K
34567
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