Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.3M
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
10%
Manifold
1%
sports3 sources$1.3M9pp gap
US recession by end of 2026?
24%
↓ 5ppPolymarket
24%
economicsPolymarket$1.3M
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
6%
sports3 sources$1.3M3pp gap
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
94%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
94%
sportsPolymarket$1.2M
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
100%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
100%
otherPolymarket$1.2M
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
46%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
46%
cryptoPolymarket$1.1M
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$1.1M
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$1.0M
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$1.0M
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
41%
↑ 11ppPolymarket
41%
geopoliticsPolymarket$996K
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$963K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
50%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
50%
politicsPolymarket$925K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
cryptoPolymarket$921K
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
19%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
19%
otherPolymarket$920K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
geopoliticsPolymarket$917K
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$896K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$870K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
15%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
15%
economicsPolymarket$860K