JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
25%
↑ 12ppPolymarket
25%
politicsPolymarket$845K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
28%
crypto2 sources$788K19pp gap
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 34ppPolymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$787K
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
sportsPolymarket$778K
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
cryptoPolymarket$752K
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
19%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$725K
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
93%
↑ 8ppPolymarket
93%
geopoliticsPolymarket$712K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
60%
Manifold
59%
Polymarket
60%
politics2 sources$710K1pp gap
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
11%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
11%
otherPolymarket$707K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
3%
↓ 1ppManifold
8%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
3%
politics3 sources$707K7pp gap
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
12%
— 0ppPolymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$682K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$660K
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$649K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
9%
↓ 8ppPolymarket
9%
geopoliticsPolymarket$640K
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
politicsPolymarket$635K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
otherPolymarket$626K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
7%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$605K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
14%
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$584K
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
16%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
16%
cryptoPolymarket$569K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
12%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$568K