OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
119 questions
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?
22%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$6K
Which Company Has The Best Math AI Model End Of April
OpenAI have the best Math AI
52%
Anthropic have the best Math
42%
DeepSeek have the best Math
7%
ai3 candidates $6K+$1K/24h
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
26%
Polymarket
26%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
30%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
30%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
10%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
48%
— 0pp
Polymarket
48%
aiPolymarket$5K
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
87%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
87%
aiPolymarket$4K
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
80%
Polymarket
80%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
37%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
37%
aiPolymarket$4K
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
75%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
75%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$4K
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
73%
Polymarket
73%
aiPolymarket$4K
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
56%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
56%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
7%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
7%
aiPolymarket$3K
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
12%
— 0pp
Polymarket
12%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
82%
↑ 6pp
Polymarket
82%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
60%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
60%
aiPolymarket$3K
Which Company Has The Second Best Coding AI Model End Of April
Anthropic have the second-be
90%
xAI have the second-best Cod
3%
ai2 candidates $3K+$206/24h
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
60%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
60%
aiPolymarket$3K
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
92%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
92%
aiPolymarket$3K
3456
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology