OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
84 questions
Ecb Interest Rates April 2026
ECB announce no change at th
89%
ECB announce an increase at
11%
economics2 candidates $235K+$7K/24h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$204K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
52%
↓ 12pp
Polymarket
52%
economicsPolymarket$169K
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
11%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
11%
economicsPolymarket$158K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$126K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$119K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$118K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
5%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
5%
economicsPolymarket$111K
Major Rate Cut Chances Under Each FED Chair
Kevin Warsh
75%
Rick Rieder
7%
something else than the list
3%
economics9 candidates +6 more$108K+$33/24h
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
1%
— 0pp
Polymarket
1%
economicsPolymarket$106K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
14%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
14%
economicsPolymarket$91K
ECB rate hike in 2026?
78%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
78%
economicsPolymarket$89K
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
40%
↓ 5pp
Polymarket
40%
economicsPolymarket$80K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
economicsPolymarket$63K
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?
15%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
15%
economicsPolymarket$62K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
27%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
27%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
55%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
55%
economicsPolymarket$58K
Canada recession before 2027?
37%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
37%
economicsPolymarket$57K
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
32%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
32%
economicsPolymarket$48K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
12%
Polymarket
12%
economicsPolymarket$41K
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