OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
66,938
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 3 hr ago
821 questions
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
5%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$516K
Epstein client list released by June 30?
14%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
14%
otherPolymarket$497K
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
36%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
36%
otherPolymarket$448K
Who Will Acquire Tiktok
Microsoft acquire TikTok?
9%
Walmart acquire TikTok?
8%
Amazon acquire TikTok?
8%
other6 candidates +3 more$442K+$953/24h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
18%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
18%
otherPolymarket$409K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
16%
↓ 12pp
Polymarket
16%
otherPolymarket$405K
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
10%
Polymarket
10%
otherPolymarket$392K
Which Country Will Join Abraham Accords Before 2027
Somaliland join the Abraham
34%
Kuwait join the Abraham Acco
26%
Saudi Arabia join the Abraha
22%
other7 candidates +4 more$392K+$20K/24h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
44%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
44%
otherPolymarket$385K
Which Ceos Will Be Out Before 2027
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO be
27%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO
18%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinb
17%
other3 candidates $382K+$4K/24h
Which Banks Will Fail By June
Citigroup fail by June 30, 2
2%
Deutsche Bank fail by June 3
2%
UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
2%
other8 candidates +5 more$365K+$31/24h
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
46%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
46%
otherPolymarket$348K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
5%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$326K
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
78%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
78%
otherPolymarket$318K
SBF released from custody in 2026?
8%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$317K
Will US Crude Oil Reserves Fall To By May
US crude oil reserves fall t
12%
US crude oil reserves fall t
3%
US crude oil reserves fall t
3%
other6 candidates +3 more$313K+$5K/24h
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
82%
Polymarket
82%
otherPolymarket$297K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
14%
↓ 10pp
Polymarket
14%
otherPolymarket$296K
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
41%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
41%
otherPolymarket$287K
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
12%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
12%
otherPolymarket$285K
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