Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
4%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
4%
otherPolymarket$517K
Epstein client list released by June 30?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
otherPolymarket$497K
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
60%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
58%
Gemini
61%
sports2 sources$490K3pp gap
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
sports2 sources$457K2pp gap
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
36%
Polymarket
36%
otherPolymarket$454K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
18%
Polymarket
18%
otherPolymarket$442K
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
14%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
14%
otherPolymarket$427K
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
64%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
72%
Manifold
55%
other2 sources$421K17pp gap
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
19%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
18%
Gemini
20%
sports2 sources$418K2pp gap
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
44%
↓ 9ppPolymarket
44%
otherPolymarket$416K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
9%
Manifold
1%
other2 sources$413K8pp gap
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
6%
sports2 sources$410K3pp gap
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
10%
Polymarket
10%
otherPolymarket$392K
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
5%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
Gemini
13%
Manifold
3%
other3 sources$376K10pp gap
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
7%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
7%
otherPolymarket$360K
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
47%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
47%
otherPolymarket$348K
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
78%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
78%
otherPolymarket$319K
SBF released from custody in 2026?
8%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
8%
otherPolymarket$317K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
21%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
21%
otherPolymarket$307K
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
82%
Polymarket
82%
otherPolymarket$297K