Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
20%
— 0ppPredictit
27%
Manifold
22%
Polymarket
18%
politics3 sources$37K9pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gavin Newsom
25%
Manifold
25%
Gemini
25%
politics2 sources$30K0pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Josh Shapiro
5%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources$30K3pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Kamala Harris
7%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
7%
politics2 sources$30K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
2%
politics2 sources$30K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Pete Buttigieg
7%
Manifold
5%
Gemini
10%
politics2 sources$30K5pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Gemini
8%
Manifold
9%
politics2 sources$30K1pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Mark Kelly
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
4%
politics2 sources$30K2pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — J.B. Pritzker
4%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
7%
politics2 sources$30K5pp gap
2028 Democratic Nominee for President? — Andy Beshear
4%
Manifold
4%
Gemini
5%
politics2 sources$30K1pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Manifold
1%
Gemini
3%
politics2 sources$25K2pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Ron DeSantis
4%
Manifold
3%
Gemini
8%
politics2 sources$25K5pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — J.D. Vance
34%
Manifold
33%
Gemini
34%
politics2 sources$25K1pp gap
2028 Republican Nominee for President? — Donald J. Trump
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
5%
politics2 sources$25K3pp gap
Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
98%
Manifold
94%
Gemini
99%
other2 sources$24K5pp gap
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
96%
Predictit
98%
Polymarket
94%
Manifold
97%
politics3 sources$21K4pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
83%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
82%
Manifold
84%
Predictit
86%
politics3 sources$19K4pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
96%
Manifold
96%
Polymarket
96%
Predictit
98%
politics3 sources$8K2pp gap
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
83%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
80%
Manifold
87%
Predictit
84%
politics3 sources$8K6pp gap
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
93%
Polymarket
92%
Manifold
96%
Predictit
95%
politics3 sources$6K5pp gap