Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↓ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
6%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$609K3pp gap
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
20%
↑ 7ppManifold
16%
Gemini
23%
Polymarket
22%
politics3 sources$600K7pp gap
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
39%
↓ 2ppGemini
41%
Manifold
40%
Polymarket
36%
politics3 sources$490K4pp gap
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
65%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
73%
Manifold
57%
other2 sources$419K16pp gap
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
9%
↑ 2ppManifold
7%
Gemini
11%
Polymarket
10%
politics3 sources$321K4pp gap
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
10%
↓ 0ppGemini
13%
Manifold
9%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$312K4pp gap
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
87%
↑ 1ppManifold
86%
Gemini
88%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$90K2pp gap
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
31%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
32%
Manifold
31%
politics2 sources$85K0pp gap
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
54%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
56%
Manifold
52%
politics2 sources$31K4pp gap
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
75%
↓ 2ppManifold
74%
Polymarket
76%
politics2 sources$25K2pp gap
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
14%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
13%
Manifold
15%
politics2 sources$21K2pp gap
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
17%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
26%
Manifold
10%
politics2 sources$18K17pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
91%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
88%
Manifold
93%
politics2 sources$12K5pp gap
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?
35%
Polymarket
6%
Predictit
97%
Manifold
7%
politics3 sources$8K91pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
96%
— 0ppManifold
95%
Polymarket
95%
Predictit
98%
politics3 sources$8K3pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
94%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
93%
Predictit
94%
Manifold
95%
politics3 sources$7K2pp gap
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
5%
↓ 2ppManifold
0%
Polymarket
40%
politics2 sources$7K40pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
95%
Polymarket
94%
Predictit
96%
Manifold
96%
politics3 sources$4K2pp gap
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
4%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
Predictit
3%
Manifold
3%
politics3 sources$4K3pp gap