Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
7%
Gemini
6%
politics3 sources$936K3pp gap
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
9%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
7%
Manifold
11%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$911K4pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7%
↓ 4ppGemini
8%
Polymarket
5%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$775K3pp gap
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21%
Polymarket
20%
Gemini
24%
Manifold
20%
politics3 sources$701K4pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
— 0ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40%
↓ 3ppPolymarket
40%
Manifold
39%
Gemini
42%
politics3 sources$610K3pp gap
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
18%
↑ 2ppManifold
16%
Gemini
19%
Polymarket
18%
politics3 sources$609K3pp gap
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
39%
↑ 1ppGemini
40%
Manifold
40%
Polymarket
38%
politics3 sources$491K3pp gap
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
22%
Polymarket
24%
Manifold
17%
Gemini
25%
politics3 sources$475K8pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
10%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
8%
Manifold
12%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$355K4pp gap
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
9%
↑ 2ppManifold
7%
Gemini
12%
Polymarket
10%
politics3 sources$322K5pp gap
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
7%
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
6%
politics3 sources$303K3pp gap
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
12%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
10%
Gemini
15%
politics2 sources$181K5pp gap
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics3 sources$171K2pp gap
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5%
↓ 40ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
6%
politics2 sources$148K1pp gap
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
87%
↓ 0ppManifold
86%
Gemini
88%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$90K2pp gap
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? — Eric Swalwell
6%
Gemini
6%
politics1 sources0pp gap
Will Stephen Miller leave office in 2026?
27%
Gemini
27%
politics1 sources0pp gap
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave office in 2026?
64%
Gemini
64%
politics1 sources0pp gap
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? — Ché Ahn
2%
Predictit
2%
Gemini
3%
politics2 sources1pp gap