Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
politics3 sources$17.4M2pp gap
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18%
↑ 1ppGemini
20%
Manifold
16%
Polymarket
17%
politics3 sources$12.9M4pp gap
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
6%
politics3 sources$10.7M2pp gap
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21%
— 0ppGemini
23%
Manifold
21%
Polymarket
19%
politics3 sources$10.1M4pp gap
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
29%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
28%
Gemini
31%
Manifold
27%
politics3 sources$9.9M4pp gap
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
73%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
70%
Gemini
76%
Manifold
73%
politics3 sources$9.1M6pp gap
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
politics3 sources$7.8M2pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
— 0ppManifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.9M3pp gap
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
— 0ppGemini
4%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M2pp gap
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$6.0M1pp gap
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11%
— 0ppGemini
13%
Manifold
10%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$5.9M4pp gap
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36%
↑ 1ppGemini
40%
Manifold
30%
Polymarket
38%
politics3 sources$3.9M10pp gap
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Polymarket
7%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.9M5pp gap
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Gemini
6%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.4M2pp gap
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.3M3pp gap
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
36%
↑ 11ppGemini
36%
Polymarket
36%
politics2 sources$2.7M1pp gap
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
1%
Manifold
0%
politics3 sources$1.8M1pp gap
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
91%
↓ 4ppManifold
90%
Gemini
93%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$1.5M5pp gap