Will a hurricane form by May 31?
7%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
7%
sciencePolymarket$37K
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
18%
↓ 28ppPolymarket
18%
sciencePolymarket$16K
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
8%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
8%
sciencePolymarket$12K
Elon Bull Run Parlay
18%
Polymarket
18%
sciencePolymarket$9K
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?
24%
↓ 8ppPolymarket
24%
sciencePolymarket$9K
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
7%
Polymarket
7%
sciencePolymarket$8K
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?
12%
↑ 8ppPolymarket
12%
sciencePolymarket$7K
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 7, 2026?
0%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
sciencePolymarket$6K
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
10%
↓ 11ppPolymarket
10%
sciencePolymarket$4K
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
28%
↓ 33ppPolymarket
28%
sciencePolymarket$3K
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
3%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
3%
sciencePolymarket$3K
Which team wins 2026 Stanley Cup — Carolina Hurricanes
14%
Manifold
14%
Gemini
15%
sports2 sources1pp gap
W
Will Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
32%
Manifold
32%
scienceManifold20 traders
W
Will fusion provide >2% of US electrical power before 2050?
36%
Manifold
36%
scienceManifold71 traders
W
Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?
19%
Manifold
19%
scienceManifold50 traders
W
When will SpaceX IPO? — By 2026-10-01
82%
Manifold
82%
scienceManifold41 traders
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? — Before 2026-05-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold75 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2026-07-01
1%
Manifold
1%
scienceManifold30 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2026-10-01
20%
Manifold
20%
scienceManifold30 traders
When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage? — Before 2027-01-01
44%
Manifold
44%
scienceManifold30 traders