OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
284 questions
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
10%
↓ 10pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$107K
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$106K
W
Will Kuwait declare war or deploy ground forces for combat?
95%
Context
95%
aiContext$104K
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
2%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
2%
aiPolymarket$103K
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
10%
— 0pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$103K
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
16%
↓ 26pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$97K
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
4%
↓ 13pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$97K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
76%
↑ 6pp
Polymarket
76%
aiPolymarket$90K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
32%
Polymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$80K
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$78K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
aiPolymarket$70K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
97%
— 0pp
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$70K
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$64K
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
91%
— 0pp
Polymarket
91%
aiPolymarket$63K
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
14%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$54K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
72%
↑ 18pp
Polymarket
72%
aiPolymarket$54K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
22%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$53K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
62%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
62%
aiPolymarket$52K
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
79%
↑ 42pp
Polymarket
79%
aiPolymarket$44K
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$33K
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Odds Raven

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