OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
119 questions
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
91%
— 0pp
Polymarket
91%
aiPolymarket$63K
Which Company Has The Best Coding AI Model End Of April
Anthropic have the best Codi
90%
OpenAI have the best Coding
7%
DeepSeek have the best Codin
3%
ai13 candidates +10 more$57K+$1K/24h
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
14%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$54K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
72%
↑ 18pp
Polymarket
72%
aiPolymarket$54K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
22%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$53K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
62%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
62%
aiPolymarket$52K
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
79%
↑ 42pp
Polymarket
79%
aiPolymarket$44K
Which Company Has The Second Best AI Model End Of April
Anthropic have the second be
85%
OpenAI have the second best
6%
Google have the second best
6%
ai13 candidates +10 more$44K+$775/24h
What Level Will The Dubai Real Estate Index Hit In 2026
DFM Real Estate Index hit 14
72%
DFM Real Estate Index dip to
54%
DFM Real Estate Index hit 16
34%
ai7 candidates +4 more$34K+$173/24h
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$33K
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
88%
↑ 16pp
Polymarket
88%
aiPolymarket$31K
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$31K
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
23%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
23%
aiPolymarket$30K
Which Companys AI Will First Hit 1550 On Chatbot Arena In 2026
Anthropic
46%
no company have an AI model
36%
Google
10%
ai9 candidates +6 more$29K+$457/24h
Which Company Has The 3 AI Model End Of April Style Control On
Anthropic have the #3 AI mod
48%
Google have the #3 AI model
34%
OpenAI have the #3 AI model
8%
ai13 candidates +10 more$29K+$6K/24h
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
39%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
39%
aiPolymarket$26K
Highest Temperature In Shanghai On April 12 2026
highest temperature in Shang
59%
ai11 candidates +10 more$25K+$20K/24h
Best Chinese AI Company End Of April
Alibaba have the best AI mod
61%
Z.ai have the best AI model
16%
DeepSeek have the best AI mo
16%
ai8 candidates +5 more$25K+$6K/24h
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
13%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
13%
aiPolymarket$25K
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
10%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$24K
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