Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
36%
↑ 11ppGemini
36%
Polymarket
36%
politics2 sources$2.7M1pp gap
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
0%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
1%
Manifold
0%
politics3 sources$1.8M1pp gap
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
91%
↓ 4ppManifold
90%
Gemini
93%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$1.5M5pp gap
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Manifold
7%
Gemini
6%
politics3 sources$933K3pp gap
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
9%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
7%
Manifold
11%
Gemini
10%
politics3 sources$910K4pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8%
↓ 1ppGemini
9%
Polymarket
8%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$770K2pp gap
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
20%
Gemini
24%
Manifold
20%
politics3 sources$698K4pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
39%
↓ 7ppPolymarket
38%
Manifold
39%
Gemini
41%
politics3 sources$609K3pp gap
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19%
↑ 4ppManifold
16%
Gemini
23%
Polymarket
20%
politics3 sources$607K7pp gap
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40%
↓ 1ppGemini
41%
Manifold
40%
Polymarket
38%
politics3 sources$491K3pp gap
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
22%
Polymarket
24%
Manifold
17%
Gemini
26%
politics3 sources$475K9pp gap
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
10%
Polymarket
8%
Manifold
12%
Gemini
11%
politics3 sources$355K4pp gap
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
9%
↑ 2ppManifold
7%
Gemini
11%
Polymarket
10%
politics3 sources$322K4pp gap
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
7%
Polymarket
6%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
6%
politics3 sources$302K3pp gap
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
7%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
6%
Gemini
8%
politics2 sources$176K2pp gap
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
2%
politics3 sources$171K2pp gap
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
36%
↓ 14ppPolymarket
34%
Gemini
38%
politics2 sources$137K4pp gap
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
87%
↑ 1ppManifold
86%
Gemini
88%
Polymarket
88%
politics3 sources$90K2pp gap
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? — Ché Ahn
3%
Predictit
2%
Gemini
5%
politics2 sources3pp gap