Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
Manifold
1%
politics3 sources$17.4M2pp gap
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18%
— 0ppGemini
21%
Manifold
16%
Polymarket
17%
politics3 sources$13.0M5pp gap
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
5%
Polymarket
6%
politics3 sources$10.7M2pp gap
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
29%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
30%
Gemini
31%
Manifold
26%
politics3 sources$10.3M5pp gap
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
21%
Gemini
23%
Manifold
20%
Polymarket
19%
politics3 sources$10.1M4pp gap
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
73%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
70%
Gemini
76%
Manifold
73%
politics3 sources$9.4M6pp gap
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%
Manifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Gemini
3%
politics3 sources$7.8M2pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
— 0ppGemini
5%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.9M2pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
Manifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.9M3pp gap
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1%
Polymarket
0%
Gemini
2%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$6.8M3pp gap
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
Gemini
2%
politics2 sources$6.0M1pp gap
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11%
— 0ppGemini
13%
Manifold
10%
Polymarket
9%
politics3 sources$5.9M4pp gap
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
— 0ppGemini
4%
Manifold
6%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$5.8M4pp gap
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
44%
Gemini
42%
Manifold
50%
Polymarket
40%
politics3 sources$4.5M10pp gap
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
36%
— 0ppGemini
40%
Manifold
30%
Polymarket
37%
politics3 sources$4.0M10pp gap
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
7%
Gemini
9%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.9M5pp gap
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
Gemini
7%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.4M3pp gap
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
Gemini
6%
Manifold
4%
politics3 sources$3.3M2pp gap
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%
Polymarket
2%
Gemini
3%
politics2 sources$3.2M1pp gap