Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4%
— 0ppManifold
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
6%
politics3 sources$9.8M4pp gap
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2%
— 0ppManifold
1%
Polymarket
1%
Predictit
4%
politics3 sources$8.4M3pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3%
— 0ppGemini
7%
Manifold
2%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
3%
politics4 sources$6.9M5pp gap
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3%
— 0ppManifold
2%
Gemini
5%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.9M3pp gap
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4%
— 0ppGemini
4%
Manifold
3%
Polymarket
3%
Predictit
5%
politics4 sources$6.8M2pp gap
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5%
— 0ppManifold
5%
Polymarket
4%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$6.5M3pp gap
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8%
↓ 1ppGemini
9%
Polymarket
8%
Predictit
7%
politics3 sources$770K2pp gap
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3%
↑ 1ppManifold
1%
Gemini
7%
Polymarket
2%
Predictit
4%
politics4 sources$617K6pp gap
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
Predictit
5%
Manifold
2%
politics3 sources$562K3pp gap
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
0%
Predictit
3%
politics2 sources$322K3pp gap
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
7%
— 0ppPolymarket
8%
Predictit
6%
politics2 sources$242K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
95%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
94%
Predictit
96%
politics2 sources$40K2pp gap
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
97%
Manifold
98%
Polymarket
96%
Predictit
96%
politics3 sources$38K3pp gap
Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
3%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
5%
Predictit
2%
politics2 sources$31K3pp gap
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
91%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
82%
Predictit
96%
politics2 sources$27K14pp gap
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
94%
Polymarket
92%
Predictit
95%
politics2 sources$26K2pp gap
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
93%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
92%
Predictit
93%
politics2 sources$23K1pp gap
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
96%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
92%
Predictit
98%
politics2 sources$21K6pp gap
Will Paul Dans be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
5%
Polymarket
10%
Predictit
2%
politics2 sources$19K8pp gap
Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
96%
↓ 0ppManifold
97%
Polymarket
92%
Predictit
97%
politics3 sources$15K5pp gap