Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$917K
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$905K
Fed rate hike in 2026?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
economicsPolymarket$864K
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
14%
↓ 46ppPolymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$834K
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
96%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
96%
geopoliticsPolymarket$807K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Polymarket
10%
Manifold
28%
crypto2 sources$792K19pp gap
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
sportsPolymarket$780K
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
4%
Polymarket
4%
cryptoPolymarket$752K
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
22%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
22%
geopoliticsPolymarket$737K
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
13%
— 0ppPolymarket
13%
geopoliticsPolymarket$731K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
10%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
10%
otherPolymarket$712K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$673K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
5%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$656K
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
5%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$649K
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
4%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$636K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
7%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$629K
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
otherPolymarket$627K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
13%
↑ 9ppPolymarket
13%
otherPolymarket$589K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$586K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
10%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$583K