US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
54%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
54%
geopoliticsPolymarket$558K
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
30%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
30%
otherPolymarket$554K
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
22%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
22%
geopoliticsPolymarket$551K
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
6%
— 0ppPolymarket
6%
otherPolymarket$547K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$544K
OKX IPO in 2026?
16%
Polymarket
16%
financePolymarket$544K
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
sciencePolymarket$538K
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
77%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
74%
Gemini
80%
Manifold
77%
sports3 sources$528K7pp gap
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
5%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
5%
otherPolymarket$516K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
59%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
59%
politicsPolymarket$513K
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
92%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
92%
geopoliticsPolymarket$511K
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
14%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
14%
politicsPolymarket$505K
Iran Nuke before 2027?
10%
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$497K
Epstein client list released by June 30?
14%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
14%
otherPolymarket$497K
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
2%
— 0ppPolymarket
2%
cryptoPolymarket$496K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
31%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
31%
economicsPolymarket$495K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
12%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
12%
cryptoPolymarket$490K
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$485K
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
90%
Manifold
81%
Polymarket
95%
science2 sources$482K14pp gap
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
60%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
60%
politicsPolymarket$481K