Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$190K
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
1%
— 0ppPolymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$186K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
50%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
50%
politicsPolymarket$185K
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
59%
↑ 22ppPolymarket
59%
politicsPolymarket$175K
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
5%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
5%
politicsPolymarket$171K
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$170K
EU dissolves before 2027?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$166K
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
92%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
92%
politicsPolymarket$166K
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
9%
Polymarket
9%
politicsPolymarket$166K
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
9%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
9%
politicsPolymarket$165K
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
1%
Polymarket
1%
politicsPolymarket$159K
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
4%
Polymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$157K
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
27%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
27%
politicsPolymarket$156K
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
15%
— 0ppPolymarket
15%
politicsPolymarket$154K
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
94%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
94%
politicsPolymarket$151K
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
12%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$149K
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$147K
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
12%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$142K
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
18%
Polymarket
18%
politicsPolymarket$141K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
7%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
7%
politicsPolymarket$139K