OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus.

Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,934
Markets
Data refreshed 50 min ago
836 questions
Consensus 2+
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
politicsPolymarket$56K
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
14%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
politicsPolymarket$54K
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
12%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$54K
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?
4%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
4%
politicsPolymarket$53K
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
65%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
65%
politicsPolymarket$53K
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
92%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
92%
politicsPolymarket$51K
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
politicsPolymarket$51K
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
40%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
40%
politicsPolymarket$50K
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
12%
Polymarket
12%
politicsPolymarket$49K
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
22%
Polymarket
22%
politicsPolymarket$47K
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
politicsPolymarket$46K
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
8%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$45K
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
43%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
43%
politicsPolymarket$44K
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
6%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$44K
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
7%
— 0pp
Polymarket
7%
politicsPolymarket$43K
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
68%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
68%
politicsPolymarket$42K
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
6%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
6%
politicsPolymarket$42K
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
8%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
politicsPolymarket$41K
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
74%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
74%
politicsPolymarket$41K
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?
68%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
68%
politicsPolymarket$39K
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