OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 9 min ago
88 questions
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
14%
↓ 8pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$108K
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
5%
↓ 4pp
Polymarket
5%
aiPolymarket$106K
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
2%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
2%
aiPolymarket$104K
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
7%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
7%
aiPolymarket$103K
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
15%
↓ 20pp
Polymarket
15%
aiPolymarket$97K
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
8%
↓ 9pp
Polymarket
8%
aiPolymarket$97K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
74%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
74%
aiPolymarket$90K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
32%
Polymarket
32%
aiPolymarket$80K
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$78K
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
aiPolymarket$70K
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
97%
— 0pp
Polymarket
97%
aiPolymarket$70K
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
6%
Polymarket
6%
aiPolymarket$64K
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
91%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
91%
aiPolymarket$63K
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
73%
↑ 21pp
Polymarket
73%
aiPolymarket$54K
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
14%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
aiPolymarket$54K
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
22%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
22%
aiPolymarket$53K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
62%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
62%
aiPolymarket$52K
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
76%
↑ 35pp
Polymarket
76%
aiPolymarket$45K
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
9%
Polymarket
9%
aiPolymarket$33K
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
90%
↑ 16pp
Polymarket
90%
aiPolymarket$31K
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Odds Raven

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