OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
88 questions
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
16%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$31K
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
23%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
23%
aiPolymarket$30K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
40%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
40%
aiPolymarket$26K
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
13%
Polymarket
13%
aiPolymarket$25K
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
10%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
10%
aiPolymarket$24K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
59%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
59%
aiPolymarket$23K
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
82%
↑ 30pp
Polymarket
82%
aiPolymarket$21K
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
38%
↑ 10pp
Polymarket
38%
aiPolymarket$18K
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
66%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
66%
aiPolymarket$16K
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
36%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
36%
aiPolymarket$14K
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
11%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
11%
aiPolymarket$13K
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
93%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
93%
aiPolymarket$13K
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
72%
Polymarket
72%
aiPolymarket$11K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
29%
Polymarket
29%
aiPolymarket$11K
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
19%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
19%
aiPolymarket$11K
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April?
0%
— 0pp
Polymarket
0%
aiPolymarket$8K
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
83%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
83%
aiPolymarket$7K
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?
2%
Polymarket
2%
aiPolymarket$7K
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
48%
↓ 7pp
Polymarket
48%
aiPolymarket$7K
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
16%
Polymarket
16%
aiPolymarket$6K
12345
Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology