OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
291 questions
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$177K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
28%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$176K
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$175K
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$164K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
13%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
13%
geopoliticsPolymarket$159K
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
7%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$156K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
8%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$155K
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
20%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$155K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
76%
↑ 10pp
Polymarket
76%
geopoliticsPolymarket$152K
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
22%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
22%
geopoliticsPolymarket$146K
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
32%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
32%
geopoliticsPolymarket$140K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
2%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$136K
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
66%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
66%
geopoliticsPolymarket$133K
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
4%
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$128K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
45%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
45%
geopoliticsPolymarket$125K
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
19%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$124K
China coup attempt before 2027?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$114K
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
16%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$109K
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
6%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
2%
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
34567
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