OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
389 questions
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$177K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
26%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
26%
geopoliticsPolymarket$176K
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$175K
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?
3%
— 0pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$164K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
13%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
13%
geopoliticsPolymarket$158K
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
8%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$155K
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
20%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$155K
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
21%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$146K
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
32%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
32%
geopoliticsPolymarket$140K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$139K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
61%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
61%
geopoliticsPolymarket$134K
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
66%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
66%
geopoliticsPolymarket$133K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
2%
↓ 7pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$132K
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
4%
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$128K
W
Will the US and Iran announce a ceasefire agreement by March 25, 2026?
85%
Context
85%
geopoliticsContext$128K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
46%
Polymarket
46%
geopoliticsPolymarket$125K
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
19%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
19%
geopoliticsPolymarket$123K
China coup attempt before 2027?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$114K
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
15%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
15%
geopoliticsPolymarket$109K
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
2%
— 0pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$106K
34567
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