OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
289 questions
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
6%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$654K
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
6%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$627K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
14%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$586K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
10%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$581K
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
57%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
57%
geopoliticsPolymarket$560K
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
26%
↑ 6pp
Polymarket
26%
geopoliticsPolymarket$552K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
16%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$545K
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
90%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
90%
geopoliticsPolymarket$513K
Iran Nuke before 2027?
10%
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$500K
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$485K
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
8%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$470K
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$443K
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$408K
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
92%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
92%
geopoliticsPolymarket$404K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
18%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$393K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$389K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
14%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$375K
Iran leadership change by June 30?
28%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$356K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$355K
Iran leadership change by May 31?
21%
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$346K
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