OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 2 hr ago
291 questions
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
98%
— 0pp
Polymarket
98%
geopoliticsPolymarket$105K
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
20%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$102K
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
8%
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$101K
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
54%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
54%
geopoliticsPolymarket$99K
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
6%
— 0pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$93K
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
16%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$92K
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$88K
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
4%
↓ 3pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$88K
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$87K
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
5%
— 0pp
Polymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
21%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
12%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
12%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$85K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
28%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$84K
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?
98%
↑ 5pp
Polymarket
98%
geopoliticsPolymarket$84K
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
36%
Polymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$84K
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
99%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
99%
geopoliticsPolymarket$83K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
12%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$82K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
18%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$81K
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
32%
↑ 14pp
Polymarket
32%
geopoliticsPolymarket$81K
45678
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