Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
20%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$80K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
34%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
34%
geopoliticsPolymarket$79K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
24%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$77K
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$76K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
36%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$75K
NATO dissolves before 2027?
7%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$72K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
20%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$71K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
36%
Polymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$71K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
40%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
40%
geopoliticsPolymarket$69K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
33%
↓ 5ppPolymarket
33%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
US x China Military clash before 2027?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
2%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$63K
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
38%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$62K
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
3%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$62K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
38%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$60K
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
16%
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$60K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
3%
— 0ppPolymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$60K
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
57%
↑ 12ppPolymarket
57%
geopoliticsPolymarket$59K
NATO article 5 before 2027?
12%
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$57K