Iran leadership change by May 31?
20%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$346K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
16%
↑ 2ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$335K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
82%
Polymarket
82%
geopoliticsPolymarket$329K
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
13%
Polymarket
13%
geopoliticsPolymarket$327K
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
33%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
33%
geopoliticsPolymarket$317K
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
10%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$277K
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
30%
Polymarket
30%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
8%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$253K
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
18%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$251K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
25%
Polymarket
25%
geopoliticsPolymarket$248K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
18%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$230K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
0%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
0%
geopoliticsPolymarket$229K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
20%
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$225K
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
29%
↓ 6ppPolymarket
29%
geopoliticsPolymarket$218K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
24%
↑ 0ppPolymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$205K
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
8%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$205K
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
42%
↓ 4ppPolymarket
42%
geopoliticsPolymarket$199K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
31%
↑ 4ppPolymarket
31%
geopoliticsPolymarket$198K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
16%
↑ 3ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$192K