Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
5%
— 0ppPolymarket
5%
geopoliticsPolymarket$485K
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
8%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$470K
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$443K
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
16%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$408K
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
92%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
92%
geopoliticsPolymarket$404K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
18%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$393K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
6%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$389K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
14%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
14%
geopoliticsPolymarket$375K
Iran Military Action Against By April
Iran strike Kuwait by April
69%
Iran strike Bahrain by April
66%
Iran strike Iraq by April 30
62%
geopolitics23 candidates +20 more$358K+$39K/24h
Iran leadership change by June 30?
28%
↓ 1ppPolymarket
28%
geopoliticsPolymarket$356K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
4%
— 0ppPolymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$355K
Iran leadership change by May 31?
21%
Polymarket
21%
geopoliticsPolymarket$346K
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
16%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$335K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
12%
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$334K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
83%
↑ 1ppPolymarket
83%
geopoliticsPolymarket$329K
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
12%
↓ 0ppPolymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$324K
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
37%
↓ 2ppPolymarket
37%
geopoliticsPolymarket$316K
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
10%
— 0ppPolymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$277K
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
30%
Polymarket
30%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K