OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
67,809
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 1 hr ago
389 questions
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
16%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
16%
geopoliticsPolymarket$335K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
12%
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$334K
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
83%
↑ 1pp
Polymarket
83%
geopoliticsPolymarket$329K
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
12%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$324K
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
37%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
37%
geopoliticsPolymarket$316K
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
10%
— 0pp
Polymarket
10%
geopoliticsPolymarket$277K
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
6%
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
30%
Polymarket
30%
geopoliticsPolymarket$272K
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
18%
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$251K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
8%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$250K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
26%
Polymarket
26%
geopoliticsPolymarket$248K
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
18%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$230K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
20%
↓ 0pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$225K
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
0%
↓ 5pp
Polymarket
0%
geopoliticsPolymarket$219K
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
30%
↓ 8pp
Polymarket
30%
geopoliticsPolymarket$218K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
24%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$205K
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$205K
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
44%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
44%
geopoliticsPolymarket$199K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
31%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
31%
geopoliticsPolymarket$198K
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
18%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$190K
23456
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