OddsRaven

Cross-platform prediction market consensus. Academically validated. Updated every 6 hours.

980
Consensus Questions
6
Platforms
68,266
Markets
Polymarket
Manifold
PredictIt
Gemini
Data refreshed 54 min ago
314 questions
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
99%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
99%
geopoliticsPolymarket$83K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
12%
↑ 4pp
Polymarket
12%
geopoliticsPolymarket$82K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
18%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
18%
geopoliticsPolymarket$81K
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
32%
↑ 14pp
Polymarket
32%
geopoliticsPolymarket$81K
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
20%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$80K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
34%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
34%
geopoliticsPolymarket$79K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
24%
↓ 6pp
Polymarket
24%
geopoliticsPolymarket$77K
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
4%
— 0pp
Polymarket
4%
geopoliticsPolymarket$76K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
36%
↑ 3pp
Polymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$75K
NATO dissolves before 2027?
7%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
7%
geopoliticsPolymarket$72K
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
20%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
20%
geopoliticsPolymarket$71K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
36%
Polymarket
36%
geopoliticsPolymarket$71K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
40%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
40%
geopoliticsPolymarket$69K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
33%
↓ 5pp
Polymarket
33%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
US x China Military clash before 2027?
8%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
8%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
2%
↓ 2pp
Polymarket
2%
geopoliticsPolymarket$64K
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
6%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
6%
geopoliticsPolymarket$63K
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
38%
↑ 0pp
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$62K
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
3%
↓ 1pp
Polymarket
3%
geopoliticsPolymarket$62K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
38%
↑ 2pp
Polymarket
38%
geopoliticsPolymarket$60K
56789
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